A public post made by President Trump December 8, 2025, has drawn attention to the possibility of a new 5% tariff on imports from Mexico. The information below summarizes what has been stated and what is currently known.

Summary of the Statement

In a December 8, 2025 Truth Social post, President Trump stated that Mexico has not met certain water-delivery requirements under the U.S.–Mexico Water Treaty. He also mentioned the potential for a 5% tariff if specific water volumes are not released. The statement refers to December 31 as the date by which 200,000 acre-feet of water should be delivered.

The full statement reads:

“Mexico continues to violate our comprehensive Water Treaty, and this violation is seriously hurting our BEAUTIFUL TEXAS CROPS AND LIVESTOCK. Mexico still owes the U.S over 800,000 acre-feet of water for failing to comply with our Treaty over the past five years. The U.S needs Mexico to release 200,000 acre-feet of water before December 31st, and the rest must come soon after. As of now, Mexico is not responding, and it is very unfair to our U.S. Farmers who deserve this much needed water. That is why I have authorized documentation to impose a 5% Tariff on Mexico if this water isn’t released, IMMEDIATELY. The longer Mexico takes to release the water, the more our Farmers are hurt. Mexico has an obligation to FIX THIS NOW. Thank you for your attention to this matter!”

Current Status

At this time, no official tariff has been implemented. There has been:

• No Presidential Proclamation

• No Executive Order

• No Federal Register notice

• No U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) guidance

Without these formal actions, there are no changes to current duty rates or import procedures.

What to Expect Going Forward

Any new tariff or regulatory change must be formally published by the U.S. government before it can take effect. Until such documentation is released, existing import processes remain unchanged.

How We Are Monitoring Updates

The J.O. Alvarez, Inc. Compliance Team is actively monitoring:

• Official government sources such as CBP, USTR, Treasury, and the Federal Register

• Informal and reputable news outlets

• Industry and policy developments affecting cross-border trade

If any confirmed updates or official actions are issued, information will be shared promptly.